消息面上，隆基绿能、晶澳科技等龙头企业密集推出股权激励计划，目标直指2026年扭亏为盈，释放行业复苏积极信号。同时，国内 光伏企业加速全球化布局，在东南亚构建"规避壁垒+就近供应"的产能体系，在中东通过"项目+制造"模式深度绑定本地能源转型，形 成全产业链出海新格局。 此外，得益于"反内卷"工作持续推进，目前，光伏行业正迎来拐点。中国光伏行业协会公布的最新数据显示，截至2025年11月，多晶 硅、硅片、电池片、组件均价分别较2025年初上涨38.9%、2.2%、0.4%、2.3%。 浙商证券表示，坚定看好行业拐点，需求复苏带动盈利修复。认为光伏行业拐点信号已现，一是2025年三季度多晶硅价格环比上涨 47%，带动部分企业减亏；二是龙头企业股权激励释放信心，目标2026年扭亏为盈；三是基金对光伏设备配置比例见底，回到2020年 行情启动前水平。预计2025年全球光伏新增装机570-630GW，同比增长8-19%，其中国内270-300GW；2026年硅料收储推动供给收 缩，需求复苏带动行业走出下行周期。 值得关注的是，中证光伏产业指数自基日(2012年12月31日)至2026年1月13日期间涨幅为206.55% ...

1月29日，晶澳科技盘中上涨2.02%，截至10:22，报12.12元/股，成交3.96亿元，换手率1.01%，总市值 401.13亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流入2572.08万元，特大单买入2223.47万元，占比5.61%，卖出1249.37万 元，占比3.15%；大单买入8618.60万元，占比21.76%，卖出7020.62万元，占比17.73%。 晶澳科技今年以来股价涨5.85%，近5个交易日涨6.32%，近20日涨4.12%，近60日跌13.18%。 责任编辑：小浪快报 截至9月30日，晶澳科技股东户数14.78万，较上期减少17.24%；人均流通股22370股，较上期增加 20.84%。2025年1月-9月，晶澳科技实现营业收入368.09亿元，同比减少32.27%；归母净利润-35.53亿 元，同比减少633.54%。 分红方面，晶澳科技A股上市后累计派现30.55亿元。近三年，累计派现24.15亿元。 资料显示，晶澳太阳能科技股份有限公司位于北京市丰台区汽车博物馆东路1号院诺德中心8号楼,香港 湾仔皇后大道东248号大新金融中心40楼，成立日期2000年10月20日，上市日期2010年 ...

| 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% ↑ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅%。 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300118 | 东方日升 | 1 | -7.33 | 242亿 | 44.95 | | 603806 | 福斯特 | | -5.34 | 463亿 | 27.08 | | 002865 | 钧达股份 | 1 | -5.08 | 289亿 | 80.97 | | 002506 | 协鑫集成 | 1 | -4.61 | 206亿 | 25.71 | | 688599 | 天合光能 | 长 | -4.53 | 464亿 | 19.58 | | 605117 | 德业股份 | 1 | -4.40 | 820亿 | 4.64 | | 600537 | 亿闘米甲 | | -4.14 | 38.35亿 | -22.12 | | 300274 | 阳光电源 | 1 | -4.01 | 3148亿 | -11.23 | | 300554 | 三超新材 | 报 | -3.80 | 29.51亿 | 11.43 | | 603398 | *ST沐邦 | | -3.10 | ...

润阳股份之后，光伏又现又"债转股"案例。1月22日，华民股份（300345）召开第五届董事会第二十次 会议，审议通过了《关于控股子公司增资扩股引入外部投资者的议案》。 | 公司名称 | 晶澳(无锡)光伏科技有限公司 | | --- | --- | | | | | 企业性质 | 有限责任公司(非自然人投资或控股的法人独资) | 根据公司经营发展需要，为进一步增强控股子公司鸿新新能源科技（云南）有限公司（简称"鸿新新能 源"）资本实力，优化资本结构，降低资产负债率，公司拟与鸿新新能源、晶澳（无锡）光伏科技有限 公司（简称"晶澳无锡"）签订《债权重组暨投资协议》，晶澳无锡以债转股方式对鸿新新能源进行增资 扩股。 晶澳无锡按照投前估值10亿元人民币，以其对鸿新新能源享有的20,000万元债权以债转股的方式对鸿新 新能源进行增资，其中11,600万元计入注册资本，8,400万元计入资本公积。鸿新新能源现有股东（公司 及其他股东）均放弃对前述增资的优先认购权。本次增资完成后，鸿新新能源注册资本将增加至 70,687.50万元，公司持有鸿新新能源的股权比例将变更为73.74%，鸿新新能源仍为公司合并报表范围 内子公司。 截 ...

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is undergoing a deep reform to combat internal competition, with regulatory measures and policy adjustments reflecting a commitment to high-quality development. However, many companies are still facing significant losses, indicating that this battle is not a short-term fix but a necessary step to resolve structural issues within the industry [2][5]. Industry Performance - Major companies like Tongwei Co., Ltd. and LONGi Green Energy are projected to incur substantial losses in 2025, with estimated net losses of 9 to 10 billion yuan and 6 to 6.5 billion yuan respectively. Other companies such as JA Solar, JinkoSolar, and Trina Solar are also expected to report significant losses, highlighting the severe challenges faced by the industry [2][3]. - The average gross margin for the entire industry is only 3.64%, with many companies trapped in a cycle of "production equals loss" due to oversupply and rising raw material costs [3][4]. Causes of Losses - The industry's performance crisis is primarily attributed to excessive homogenous production capacity and fierce price competition, compounded by soaring raw material costs. The supply of silicon materials is projected to exceed global demand by more than double over the next three years, leading to a significant imbalance [3][4]. - The price of silver, a key material in photovoltaic cells, has surged by 231% in 2025, pushing companies to adopt cost-cutting measures at the expense of technological innovation and quality [4][5]. Recommendations for Improvement - Companies must shift their focus from price competition to technological innovation and quality improvement, investing in advanced battery technologies such as TOPCon, BC, and ABC to enhance efficiency and reduce costs [4][6]. - The industry needs to establish self-regulatory standards to combat unfair competition practices, such as selling below cost and misrepresenting product capabilities, while promoting collaboration among companies to consolidate resources [4][6]. Government Role - Government policies and regulatory actions are crucial for supporting the industry's reform efforts. A unified and clear policy direction is necessary to stabilize market expectations and foster industry consensus [5][6]. - Regulatory bodies should enhance oversight on low-price dumping and set higher energy consumption and environmental standards for mature production stages, while also optimizing bidding rules to prioritize technology and quality over price [5][6]. Future Outlook - The photovoltaic industry is at a critical juncture, with the potential for recovery as companies begin to reduce losses and improve profitability. Analysts suggest that the industry may see a turning point in profitability by early 2026 [6][7]. - A collaborative effort between companies and government is essential to ensure that innovation becomes the cornerstone of industry development, allowing China to transition from a manufacturing hub to a center of innovation in the global energy transformation [7].

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic (PV) industry in A-shares is facing significant losses, with many leading companies projecting substantial pre-loss figures for 2025 due to a challenging operating environment and supply-demand imbalances [2][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance and Projections - Major PV companies are expected to report significant pre-loss figures for 2025, including Tongwei Co. with a projected loss of 9 to 10 billion yuan, LONGi Green Energy with 6 to 6.5 billion yuan, and JinkoSolar with 5.9 to 6.9 billion yuan [2]. - The overall operating environment remains difficult, with many companies experiencing nine consecutive quarters of losses since Q4 2023, driven by price declines and insufficient end-demand [3]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The PV module prices are under pressure due to "involutionary competition" and a lack of terminal demand, with market transaction prices around 0.6 yuan per watt expected in mid-2025 [3]. - The industry is witnessing a supply surplus, with production rates declining across various segments, while core material prices, such as silver, continue to rise [3]. Group 3: Recovery Efforts and Future Goals - Some companies are beginning to emerge from the loss cycle, with LONGi Green Energy projecting a maximum reduction in losses of 30.38% and Aiko Solar up to 77.44% compared to 2024 [4]. - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association noted a 16.9% year-on-year decline in revenue for the main industry chain in the first three quarters of 2025, but an improvement in gross margins to 3.64% [4]. - Several leading PV companies have set profit targets for 2026, with Trina Solar aiming for a net profit of no less than 200 million yuan and LONGi Green Energy targeting positive net profits in subsequent years [5].

隆基绿能分析称，2025年，光伏行业供需错配、低价内卷式竞争持续，开工率维持低位，同时国内电力 市场化改革不断深入，海外贸易壁垒持续加剧，导致了光伏企业经营环境严峻复杂。 不过，随着"反内卷"的持续深入，部分光伏企业正走出亏损"泥潭"——相较2024年，隆基绿能最高预计 减亏30.38%、爱旭股份最高减亏77.44%。 中国光伏行业协会名誉理事长王勃华此前公开指出，2025年前三季度，光伏主产业链环节营业收入同比 下降16.9%，但毛利率持续改善至3.64%，其中第三季度达5.61%，同时产能无序扩张得到有效控制。 此外，值得一提的是，虽然光伏行业整体仍深陷亏损的寒冬，多家光伏龙头近期在股权激励等方案中制 定了2026年利润转正的目标。 "预亏"成为各光伏企业2025年业绩预告单的关键词。 随着2025年业绩预告的陆续披露，A股光伏上市企业的经营状况已经逐步明晰。整体来看，第一财经记 者注意到，因受经营环境和行业供需影响，多数光伏企业仍延续亏损状态。 "预亏"成为各家业绩预告单的关键词。以出货量领先的头部企业为例，2025年，通威股份 （600438.SH）预亏90亿元至100亿元；隆基绿能（601012.S ...

企业作为市场主体，是反内卷的核心执行者，其自觉与努力决定着反内卷的实际成效，而当前全行业的 业绩困境，正是低价内卷叠加成本压力的集中恶果。2025年的光伏行业，鲜有企业能独善其身，从头部 龙头到细分领域玩家，业绩预亏成为行业常态，亏损规模与范围均创下历史新高—— 笔者认为，唯有企业筑牢自律自觉的根基，政府打出协同一致的政策组合拳，将反内卷坚持到底，才能 让光伏行业彻底走出低价厮杀的泥潭，回归技术创新与价值创造的核心赛道。 通威股份（600438.SH）预计2025年净亏损90亿~100亿元，隆基绿能（601012.SH）预亏60亿~65亿元， 两大龙头的巨亏直接折射出行业的严峻形势，其中隆基绿能明确提及四季度银浆、硅料成本大幅上涨进 一步推升了产品成本，加剧经营压力；晶澳科技（002459.SZ）、晶科能源（688223.SH）、天合光能 （688599.SH）归母净利润分别预亏45亿~48亿元、59亿~69亿元、超42亿元，组件赛道的价格战厮杀已 到白热化阶段，天合光能更坦言受硅料、银浆等原材料成本上涨影响，组件业务盈利能力同比下滑；硅 料龙头大全能源（688303.SH）持续亏损，虽三季度起硅料价格呈现恢 ...

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic (PV) sector in A-shares has seen a significant surge, with multiple stocks experiencing a 20% increase, driven by Elon Musk's endorsement of space photovoltaics at the Davos Forum. However, the industry faces a harsh reality of prolonged losses, overcapacity, and persistent price pressures, with major companies expected to report substantial losses in 2025 [3][4][5]. Group 1: Industry Performance and Financial Outlook - A total of 32 listed PV companies have issued profit warnings, with 23 companies, over 70%, expected to incur losses in 2025 [5]. - Major players like Tongwei Co. are projected to face losses between 9 billion to 10 billion yuan, a significant increase from the previous year's loss of 7.04 billion yuan, marking it as the only company with a projected loss exceeding 10 billion yuan [5][6]. - Trina Solar and JinkoSolar are also expected to report substantial losses, with Trina Solar's losses estimated at 6.5 billion to 7.5 billion yuan, up from 3.44 billion yuan the previous year [5][6]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Challenges - The PV industry is grappling with a dual weakness in supply and demand, leading to significant price declines across the supply chain, including silicon materials, cells, and modules [8][9]. - The rapid expansion of manufacturing capacity in recent years has coincided with a slowdown in global demand, resulting in severe supply-demand imbalances [9]. - The cost of key raw materials, particularly silver, has surged, further straining the profitability of PV companies. Silver prices have increased by over 118% since October of the previous year, significantly impacting production costs [9][10]. Group 3: Future Industry Prospects - The path to recovery for the PV industry hinges on supply-side reforms, including capacity utilization improvements and the elimination of outdated production capabilities [10]. - The industry must address the current overcapacity and restore a healthy balance between supply and demand to improve product pricing and overall profitability [10].

这既是一场残酷的生存淘汰赛，也是一次深度的产业格局重 构。光伏行业的下一站，必将在这一轮激烈洗牌后重新锚定。 作者：蔡越坤 封图：图虫创意 2025年的光伏行业，交出了一份令人触目惊心的成绩单。 2026年1月22日，晶科能源（688223.SH）披露，预计2025年归母净利润亏损59亿元至69亿 元；此前数日的公告显示，天合光能（688599.SH）预亏65亿元至75亿元，创上市以来最大亏损 纪录；通威股份（600438.SH）预亏90亿元至100亿元，隆基绿能（601012.SH）预亏60亿元 到65亿元，TCL中环（002129.SZ）预亏82亿元至96亿元、晶澳科技（002459.SZ）预亏45亿 元至48亿元，爱旭股份（600732.SH）、钧达股份（002865.SZ）和大全能源（688303.SH） 也预计亏损超过10亿元…… 龙头企业预亏合计达数百亿元，处在反内卷当中的光伏业仍未走出亏损泥潭。 "现在的光伏圈，与其说是'红海'，不如说是'血海'。"作为一名入行近十年的从业者，李帅如此感 慨光伏行业的现状。在他的记忆中，2022年光伏全行业利润丰厚；但在短短四年内，行业经历了 从顶峰到谷底的剧烈 ...