楼市大局已定？2026年的房价，已出现4大迹象！

Group 1 - The domestic real estate market has entered a long-term adjustment trend since 2022, with average national housing prices dropping over 30%, and certain areas experiencing declines exceeding 60% [1][3] - The decline in housing prices is attributed to three main factors: significant market bubble, economic downturn leading to reduced incomes and job losses, and the exit of speculative investors from the market [3][5] - Major cities' core areas are also experiencing price adjustments, with Shanghai's core area prices dropping from over 90,000 yuan per square meter to over 60,000 yuan, indicating a shift towards more reasonable pricing [7] Group 2 - The number of second-hand homes listed for sale has surged, with over 7.3 million listings nationwide, driven by speculative sellers and a rapid decline in demand from first-time buyers [10] - China is entering an aging society, with the elderly population expected to exceed 300 million by the end of 2024, leading to a decrease in demand for new housing as many young people inherit properties [13] - The government plans to accelerate the introduction of affordable housing, with 6 million units expected over the next five years, which will further increase downward pressure on market prices [16]