“家里有矿，年内涨超有色”，矿业ETF（561330）大涨超2%

Core Viewpoint - The mining ETF (561330) has surged over 2% on November 6, driven by positive catalysts from the non-ferrous mining sector's Q3 reports, with a year-to-date increase exceeding 80% [1][3]. Group 1: Q3 Performance and Market Trends - The non-ferrous sector reported revenues of 24,380.50 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.33%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1,337.48 billion yuan, up 41.88% [3]. - The CSI 300 index rose by 17.9% in Q3, while the CSI Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Theme Index increased by 50.20%, and the CSI Non-Ferrous Metals Index saw a 43.95% rise [3]. - Factors contributing to the positive performance include the Federal Reserve's resumption of interest rate cuts, rising gold prices, and upward trends in industrial metal prices due to supply disruptions [3]. Group 2: ETF Performance and Composition - The mining ETF (561330) outperformed the CSI Non-Ferrous Index by nearly 10% year-to-date, attributed to a more concentrated selection of leading stocks [4]. - The ETF tracks the CSI Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Theme Index, which consists of 37 stocks, with the top ten accounting for 57.03% of the index, compared to 47.97% for the CSI Non-Ferrous Index, which has 60 stocks [4]. - The composition of the CSI Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Theme Index shows a higher proportion of gold, copper, and rare earths at 56.2%, compared to 52.5% in the CSI Non-Ferrous Index, enhancing its responsiveness to market catalysts [5]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The supply-side constraints are identified as a fundamental driver for the industry's positive outlook, with insufficient global resource capital expenditure over the past decade leading to reduced supply elasticity [11]. - Low inventory levels and a rebound in demand from manufacturing, energy transition, and investments in power grids and data centers are expected to amplify marginal demand improvements [11]. - Analysts predict that copper and cobalt prices will continue to rise due to supply tightness, while lithium prices are expected to benefit from unexpected increases in energy storage demand [11].