Core Viewpoint - Xiaopeng Motors is at a growth inflection point driven by "product iteration + leading smart driving," with its robot business providing long-term potential and range-extended models ensuring stable sales in the short to medium term [1] Group 1: Smart Driving and Long-term Growth - Xiaopeng Motors is positioned as a core player in smart driving, with a clear long-term growth logic [1] - The penetration rate of smart driving features (L2 and above) in China is expected to reach 82.6% by the first half of 2025 [1] - The company has developed its own Turing AI chip and VLA/VLM large models, achieving nationwide "map-free" smart driving, leading the industry [1] - Future expansion plans include Robotaxi and humanoid robots, creating a three-stage growth curve of "smart driving - Robotaxi - robots" to solidify its core advantages in intelligence and form a closed industrial chain [1] Group 2: Sales Growth Driven by Range-Extended Strategy - The company has proposed a dual strategy of "range-extended + pure electric" to drive sales growth amid declining purchase tax and diverse user demands [2] - At least five range-extended models are planned, covering sedans and SUVs, with the first X9 range-extended model expected to go into production within the year [2] - This strategy, combined with popular pure electric models like Mona M03 and P7, aims to create a more balanced product matrix, with range-extended models expected to support stable sales and market share over the next 1-2 years [2] Group 3: Shift in Product Design Logic - The company has established "design" and "intelligence" as its dual strengths, shifting the R&D process from "engineering constraints first" to "design first" [3] - The new P7 model showcases differentiated results, with plans to enhance design while leveraging self-developed Turing chips and large models for upgrades in smart driving and smart cabin experiences [3] - Organizational adjustments and modular design will improve cost control, aiming to create a "no weaknesses, multiple strengths" framework in design, intelligence, and cost, with expectations to continuously launch high-tech and cost-effective popular models [3]
财通证券:首予小鹏汽车-W“增持”评级 长期成长逻辑清晰