Ge Long Hui·2025-11-06 08:54Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has returned to the 4000-point level, driven by significant gains in the semiconductor sector, particularly by companies like Cambrian and Haiguang Information, which have led to substantial increases in related ETFs [1][4]. Semiconductor Industry Performance - The semiconductor sector has experienced a broad-based surge, contributing over 40% to the Shanghai Composite Index, with key ETFs like E Fund Semiconductor Equipment ETF and STAR 50 ETF rising by 3.84% and 3.39% respectively [4]. - The semiconductor sector's rebound is attributed to several factors, including a significant short-term correction of 9%-10% since October 14, creating a demand for a rebound [4]. - The ongoing dynamics in the semiconductor industry, particularly the continuous price increases in memory chips, have fueled this surge [5][6]. Price Increases in Memory Chips - Following price hikes by major players like Samsung and SK Hynix, the prices of storage products, including DRAM and NAND, have been raised again, with HBM4 prices increasing by 50% compared to previous generations [6][7]. - The demand for storage chips from AI servers is reportedly eight times that of regular servers, leading to a supply-demand imbalance that is driving the current price increase cycle [9]. Financial Performance of Semiconductor Companies - Recent earnings reports from U.S. semiconductor companies, such as Arm and Qualcomm, have confirmed the industry's high growth potential, with Arm's second-quarter results exceeding analyst expectations and Qualcomm reporting a 10% year-over-year revenue increase [11]. Capital Movements in the Semiconductor Sector - Domestic semiconductor companies are actively pursuing capital operations, with IPO processes for firms like Muxi and Moore Threads advancing rapidly, and strategic investments from national funds being secured [12]. ETF Inflows and Market Trends - The E Fund Semiconductor Equipment ETF has seen a net inflow of 172 million yuan over the past 20 days, focusing on key areas of semiconductor equipment and materials, which are crucial for domestic substitution [12]. - The STAR 50 ETF, which tracks the STAR 50 Index with a 65.5% weight in semiconductors, has also attracted significant capital inflows, indicating strong investor interest in leading companies in the sector [14]. MSCI Index Adjustments - MSCI has announced the inclusion of 17 A-shares in its China Index, reflecting a net increase in stocks for the first time since February 2024, with many of the newly included stocks belonging to high-tech sectors such as semiconductors and AI [18].