Diageo's Share Price Slips 2% As Weak Q1 Prompts Guidance Cut

Core Viewpoint - Diageo has cut its guidance due to disappointing sales performance, particularly in North America and Asia Pacific, leading to a decline in net sales and a reassessment of growth expectations for the fiscal year [2][7]. Sales Performance - Diageo's net sales for the three months ending September were $4.9 billion, reflecting a decline of 2.2% primarily due to asset disposals [2]. - Organic net sales remained flat, with group volumes increasing by 2.9% year on year, but negatively impacted by a price/mix decline of 2.8% [3]. - The company attributed weak sales in Asia Pacific to poor performance in Chinese white spirits, which reduced quarterly net sales by approximately 2.5% [3]. Regional Performance - North America, Diageo's largest market, saw reported net sales drop by 3.5%, with an organic decline of 2.7% attributed to a challenging consumer goods environment and increased competition, particularly in tequila [4][5]. - In contrast, Europe reported a 5.1% increase in net sales on a reported basis and a 3.5% increase organically, driven by strong performance in Guinness [5][6]. Guidance and Future Outlook - Following the weak quarter, Diageo now expects full-year organic net sales to be flat to slightly down, revising previous expectations of zero growth [7]. - Organic operating profit growth is now anticipated to be in the low to mid-single digits, down from mid-single-digit projections [7]. - The company maintains its free cash flow guidance of $3 billion for the full year and aims for cost savings of $625 million over three years through its Accelerate restructuring program [8]. Leadership and Strategy - Interim CEO Nik Jhangiani emphasized the need for improved performance and swift action to drive efficiencies and adapt to changing consumer environments [9]. - The company is focused on refining its strategy and implementing plans to foster growth across its portfolio [9]. - Analysts express concerns regarding leadership stability following the abrupt departure of former CEO Debra Crew, highlighting the importance of securing a credible leader to restore investor confidence [10].