Cai Fu Zai Xian·2025-11-06 09:18Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a resurgence in the non-ferrous metal sector, particularly with companies like Nanshan Aluminum and China Aluminum experiencing significant stock price increases due to strong industrial logic driving the market [1] Group 2 - The aluminum supply is constrained due to power bottlenecks, as evidenced by Microsoft's CEO acknowledging a lack of sufficient electricity to operate their AI GPUs, indicating that aluminum smelting, which is energy-intensive, is facing similar challenges [2] Group 3 - The supply-demand dynamics for aluminum are being reshaped, with global energy transition impacting industrial metal production capacity. Domestic electrolytic aluminum capacity is nearing 45 million tons, with utilization rates exceeding 96%, indicating limited flexibility. Meanwhile, demand from green sectors like electric vehicles and photovoltaics is rising, offsetting declines in traditional construction demand. Forecasts suggest a widening global aluminum supply-demand gap from 2025 to 2026, with aluminum prices reaching near three-year highs, driven by deep structural industry changes [3] Group 4 - Xiamen Xiangyu is positioned as a "chain master" in the aluminum industry, with a comprehensive service system covering bauxite, alumina, electrolytic aluminum, and aluminum products. The company's business model allows it to earn stable "flow fees" as long as the industry chain remains active. Additionally, Xiamen Xiangyu's strategic investment in Nanshan Aluminum's IPO positions it favorably within the industry, securing business flow and embedding itself in China's aluminum export strategy. This strategic positioning suggests that Xiamen Xiangyu's value remains underestimated in the context of the new aluminum industry cycle [4]