Core Viewpoint - The demand for AI data centers is driving a reevaluation of the storage industry, leading several Wall Street investment banks to significantly raise their target prices for NAND supplier SanDisk [1][4]. Group 1: Target Price Adjustments - Bank of America Merrill Lynch raised SanDisk's target price from $125 to $230, maintaining a buy rating, citing a need to reassess the company's price-to-book ratio to 3-4 times [1]. - Mizuho Securities increased SanDisk's target price from $180 to $215, keeping an outperform rating [1]. - Jefferies raised SanDisk's target price from $60 to $180, also maintaining a buy rating [1]. Group 2: Financial Projections - Bank of America revised SanDisk's fiscal year 2026 EPS forecast from $6.93 to $8.00, a 15.4% increase, and revenue expectations from $8.91 billion to $9.17 billion, a 2.9% increase [1]. - The firm anticipates a 16% compound annual growth rate for SanDisk's revenue from fiscal years 2025 to 2028, with EPS expected to grow over five times during the same period [1][4]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The data center segment accounted for approximately 12% of SanDisk's revenue in the first half of fiscal year 2025, doubling from 6% year-over-year [3]. - Enterprise SSD (eSSD) products are becoming the core growth engine for SanDisk, with eSSD margins nearing 50%, expected to contribute nearly one-third of total gross profit [3]. - The ongoing shortage of HDDs is driving demand for eSSD products, which is expected to support pricing resilience despite overall NAND average selling prices facing downward pressure [3][4]. Group 4: Supply and Demand Imbalance - The current AI data center construction boom and shortages in NAND and HDD are pushing manufacturers' gross margins to historical highs [4]. - Bank of America expects SanDisk's stock to be revalued to at least 3-4 times its book value, based on a strong storage cycle [4]. - The firm has raised EPS forecasts for fiscal years 2027 and 2028 to $14.38 and $16.04, respectively, significantly above previous estimates [4]. Group 5: Industry Outlook - Mizuho and Jefferies both express confidence in SanDisk's resilience in NAND pricing, anticipating sales and margin improvements in 2026 due to limited supply [5]. - The storage industry is expected to continue benefiting from AI growth, with increasing demand for high-capacity storage solutions [5].
华尔街大幅上调“闪存巨头”闪迪目标价，美银称“存储超级周期下，市净率应至少3-4倍”