Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-11-06 13:09Core Insights - The demand for AI applications and inference computing power is surging, leading to a significant increase in the demand for high-performance storage chips, with DRAM spot prices rising by 9.8% month-on-month, continuing an accelerating upward trend [1][5] - The semiconductor sales in China increased by 15.0% year-on-year in September, indicating further improvement in growth rates and sustained high levels of prosperity in the semiconductor and electronics industries [1][5] Industry Performance - The electronic industry continues to show high prosperity, with improved export demand [2][3] - AI computing power demand is driving the electronic industry chain's prosperity, with tight supply and demand conditions for DRAM storage prices leading to continued price increases [3][5] - The Shanghai Container Freight Index (SCFI) has significantly increased month-on-month, reflecting improved expectations for export demand due to positive developments in US-China trade negotiations [3] Downstream Consumption - Real estate sales are struggling, with a 39.9% year-on-year decline in transaction area for commercial housing in 30 major cities, and significant drops in first, second, and third-tier cities [4] - Durable goods consumption is under pressure, with a 9.0% year-on-year decline in retail sales of passenger cars and a notable decrease in air conditioning production for both domestic and foreign markets [4] - Agricultural prices are showing signs of improvement, with live pig prices rising by 4.1% month-on-month due to better supply-demand dynamics [4] Technology & Manufacturing - The demand for high-performance storage chips is being driven by the surge in AI applications and inference computing power, with DRAM spot prices continuing to rise [5] - Construction demand remains weak, influenced by environmental regulations, leading to a tightening of supply in the steel industry and a rebound in steel prices [5] Upstream Resources - Coal prices remained stable month-on-month due to tight supply ahead of safety inspections, while industrial metal prices are experiencing narrow fluctuations [7] Logistics and Transportation - Passenger transport demand is showing signs of recovery, with a 2.1% month-on-month increase in long-distance travel demand [9] - Port throughput has improved month-on-month, reflecting positive developments in export expectations [9]