Core Insights - Yum China reported Q3 2025 revenue of US$3.2 billion, representing a 4% year-over-year increase, and a core operating profit of US$399 million, up 8% year-over-year, aligning with expectations [1][5] - The company maintains net profit forecasts for shareholders at US$938 million, US$1.0 billion, and US$1.1 billion for 2025E to 2027E, with a target price of HK$450, indicating a 28% upside potential, and a Buy rating is upheld [1][5] Store Expansion - A record number of store openings occurred in Q3, with 536 net new stores added, bringing the total to 17,514, including 12,640 KFC and 4,022 Pizza Hut locations [2][6] - KFC and Pizza Hut expanded into over 310 and 170 new cities respectively in the past 12 months, reaching a total of over 2,500 and approximately 1,000 cities [2][6] - Franchise stores accounted for 41% of new KFC stores and 27% of new Pizza Hut stores in the first nine months of 2025 [2][6] New Store Formats - The number of KCoffee Café stores has reached approximately 1,800, and KPRO stores have exceeded 100 [3] - Pizza Hut WOW has entered more than 40 cities that previously had no Pizza Hut presence [3] Same-Store Sales Growth (SSSG) - KFC's same-store sales growth increased by 2% year-over-year, with transaction volume up 3% and average price down 1% to RMB 38, driven by strong growth in small orders [4][6] - Pizza Hut's same-store sales growth rose by 1% year-over-year, with transaction volume increasing by 17% and average price decreasing by 13% to RMB 70 [4][6] - The company targets similar SSSG levels in Q4 2025 as in Q3 2025, marking the 12th consecutive quarter of positive same-store transaction growth, with expectations for core operating profit margin to remain stable year-over-year [4][6] Investment Outlook - The company is viewed positively due to solid earnings growth and attractive capital returns, maintaining a target price of HK$450 and a Buy rating [5][6]
YUM CHINA(09987.HK):POSITIVE SAME-STORE SALES GROWTH