美国政府停摆刷新历史纪录，每周损失超百亿美元

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing U.S. government shutdown, now in its 37th day, is causing significant economic damage, with estimates of weekly losses ranging from $10 billion to $30 billion, potentially impacting the fourth-quarter economic growth rate by up to 2 percentage points if the deadlock continues [2][4][5]. Economic Impact - Historically, government shutdowns have had temporary effects, with furloughed employees receiving back pay. However, this shutdown is expected to have more severe consequences due to its prolonged duration and the current economic fragility, with many Americans concerned about inflation and job prospects [4][6]. - The shutdown is affecting millions of Americans, particularly during the holiday season, as many will lose access to food assistance programs [4][5]. - The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has announced a 10% reduction in flight operations at 40 major airports due to air traffic controller shortages caused by the shutdown [5][6]. Employment and Unemployment - The shutdown is contributing to a rise in the unemployment rate, with estimates suggesting it could increase from 4.3% to 4.7% in October due to furloughed federal employees being counted as unemployed [7]. - The shutdown has led to an estimated $24 billion in paused federal spending on goods and services, affecting contractors and suppliers who rely on these funds [7][8]. Consumer Confidence and Spending - Economists warn that if the shutdown extends into the holiday shopping season, it could further undermine consumer confidence and spending, exacerbating economic losses [8][9]. - Previous shutdowns have typically pressured consumer confidence, and this situation is expected to follow suit, despite some positive economic indicators such as rising stock markets and falling gasoline prices [9].