Constellation Energy to Report Q3 Earnings: How to Play the Stock?

Core Insights - Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) is set to report its third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 7, with revenue expectations of $6.12 billion, reflecting a 6.53% decline year-over-year, while earnings per share are projected at $3.04, indicating a 10.95% growth compared to the previous year [1] Earnings Performance - CEG has surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 4.13% [2] - The earnings surprise history shows reported earnings of $1.91, $2.14, $2.44, and $2.74 for the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 4.13% [3] Earnings Prediction Model - The current Earnings ESP for CEG is 0.00%, indicating that the model does not predict an earnings beat this time [4] Factors Influencing Q3 Performance - Strong demand from commercial customers and an expanding customer base are expected to positively impact Q3 earnings, projected to rise by 10.95% year-over-year, despite a revenue decline [5][8] - CEG's robust nuclear infrastructure is likely to support increased demand from data centers, contributing positively to revenues and earnings [8] - The ongoing expansion of CEG's renewable energy portfolio is expected to foster long-term earnings growth and positively influence Q3 results [9] Shareholder Value and Stock Performance - Ongoing share repurchases are anticipated to enhance shareholder value and positively impact earnings due to a lower number of shares outstanding [10] - CEG's stock has returned 45.6% over the past six months, outperforming the industry growth of 29.6% [13] - The stock is currently trading at a premium, with a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 31.71X compared to the industry average of 23.36X [15] Strategic Investments - CEG's investments in customer-focused energy solutions, including carbon-free and renewable energy certifications, are expected to generate favorable returns and enhance stakeholder value [17] - The company is well-positioned to capture growing demand and strengthen revenue streams through its extensive carbon-free generation fleet and comprehensive energy supply services [18] Summary - Given the solid earnings growth expectations for Q3 and stable price performance, existing investors may consider holding onto CEG stock [19]