生猪开启去化周期,养殖ETF(516760)盘中拉升
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-07 02:41

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the pig farming industry is experiencing a shift towards capacity reduction due to declining pig prices and policy-driven measures, which may lead to a long-term increase in pig prices [1][2] - In Q1-Q3 2025, pig farming enterprises achieved a revenue of 341.27 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.32%, and a net profit of 22.18 billion yuan, up 14.29% year-on-year [1] - The total number of pigs slaughtered by 12 major pig farming companies reached 123.99 million heads, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 19.45% [1] Group 2 - The current market conditions show weak pig prices, both in reality and expectations, which, combined with policy initiatives, are likely to initiate a capacity reduction in the pig farming industry [2] - The latest price-to-book ratio (PB) for the livestock farming index tracked by the breeding ETF is 2.59 times, which is lower than 80.93% of the time over the past five years, indicating a favorable valuation [2] - The industry is expected to see a contraction in supply, which may enhance the profitability and valuation of quality pig farming companies, suggesting a positive outlook for the breeding ETF [2]