马斯克在特斯拉股东大会透露:明年第三代人形机器人量产,可能自建大型晶圆厂
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-07 03:17

Core Insights - Tesla's annual shareholder meeting highlighted advancements in humanoid robots, autonomous driving, production expansion, chip innovation, and mission updates [2][3][4] Group 1: Financial Position - Tesla currently holds over $40 billion in cash reserves with positive cash flow [2] Group 2: Humanoid Robots - Tesla's humanoid robot is projected to be the largest product ever, with a market size expected to reach billions of units, primarily for personal and industrial use [2] - The production line for humanoid robots will start with an annual capacity of 1 million units in Fremont, followed by a 10 million unit capacity in Texas [2] - The first generation of humanoid robots will begin mass production next year, with a target production cost of around $20,000 per unit once reaching a sustained output of 1 million units annually [2] - Future generations of humanoid robots are planned, with the third generation launching next year, the fourth in 2027, and the fifth in 2028 [2] Group 3: Autonomous Driving - Tesla's autonomous driving system, version V14.1, is reported to be smooth, with V14.3 expected to achieve a level of automation where users can sleep during travel [3][4] - The Cybercab, Tesla's first fully autonomous vehicle designed for Robotaxi operations, will begin production in April 2026, with a production rate target of 5-10 seconds per vehicle [3] - Vehicle production targets are set to increase by 50% next year, reaching an annualized output of 2.6 to 2.7 million units, with further growth expected to 4 million by the end of 2027 and 5 million by the end of 2028 [3] Group 4: Chip Development - Tesla is deeply involved in the design of the AI 5 chip, which has one-third the power consumption of Nvidia's Blackwell while maintaining comparable performance at a fraction of the cost [4] - The AI 6 chip is already in planning, expected to double the performance of AI 5 within a year of its production [4] - Tesla is considering building a "Terafab" to address chip supply constraints, aiming for a capacity of 1 million wafers per month [4] Group 5: Energy and Storage - A new energy storage Gigafactory in Nevada is set to begin production by the end of 2026 [5] - The Tesla Roadster is scheduled for a technical showcase in April 2026, with mass production expected 12-18 months later [5]