巴克莱上调韩国2026年GDP增长预测至2.1%

Group 1 - Barclays has raised South Korea's GDP growth forecast for 2026 from 1.7% to 2.1% due to the recovery in the semiconductor industry [1] - The forecast for South Korea's current account surplus in 2026 has been increased from 8.4 billion to 11 billion USD [1] - Economist Bum Ki Son stated that South Korea's international balance of payments is expected to show its strongest performance in 15 years, driven by foreign portfolio inflows [1] Group 2 - It is anticipated that the Bank of Korea will only lower interest rates once more, potentially in November, bringing the terminal rate of the current easing cycle down to 2.25% [1] - Previously, it was predicted that there would be two more rate cuts, one in November and another in February 2026 [1]