据追风交易台，在"原油将迎来史诗级过剩"的共识声浪中，巴克莱给出了一个明显逆市场的判断：眼下市场所担忧的供给过剩，规模被高估、持续时间被夸 大。 在巴克莱看来，当前并不是原油熊市的起点，而更像是多年上行周期前的"最后一次情绪错配"。 巴克莱明确指出，国际油价将在2026年下半年开启一轮持续数 年的上行周期。 市场为何会误判？"过剩叙事"本身就站不住脚 过去一年，市场反复引用 IEA、EIA 的供需预测，认为 2026 年全球原油市场将出现 300–400万桶/日 的供给过剩。但巴克莱强调， 如果过剩真实存在，应当 首先反映在库存之中 。 然而，现实数据并不支持这一判断，巴克莱认为，现实数据并不支持这一判断。 第一，所谓"4百万桶/日过剩"，在现实中根本没有出现。 无论是陆上商业库存，还是海上浮仓、在途原油，都明显低于这些模型所暗示的水平。 价格本身也给出了答案——布伦特油价并未跌入市场反复预期的40–50 美元区间，而是表现出明显韧性。 真正的拐点不在当下，而在"非OPEC供给范式"发生变化之后 如果说短期的分歧来自对"库存与需求"的误读，那么巴克莱真正看多原油的底层逻辑，指向2026年之后的供给结构变化。 ...

据追风交易台，在"原油将迎来史诗级过剩"的共识声浪中，巴克莱给出了一个明显逆市场的判断：眼下市场所担忧的供给过剩， 规模被高估、持续时间被夸大，而真正重要的变化，发生在2026年之后。 在巴克莱看来，当前并不是原油熊市的起点，而更像是多年上行周期前的"最后一次情绪错配"。 市场为何会误判？"过剩叙事"本身就站不住脚 过去一年，市场反复引用 IEA、EIA 的供需预测，认为 2026 年全球原油市场将出现 00–400 万桶/日的供给过剩。但巴克莱强调， 如果过剩真实存在，应当首先反映在库存之中。 然而，现实数据并不支持这一判断，巴克莱认为，现实数据并不支持这一判断。 第一，所谓"4百万桶/日过剩"，在现实中根本没有出现。 无论是陆上商业库存，还是海上浮仓、在途原油，都明显低于这些模型所暗示的水平。价格本身也给出了答案——布 伦特油价并未跌入市场反复预期的40–50美元区间，而是表现出明显韧性。 巴克莱指出，市场并非在"算错供给"，而是在系统性低估需求的绝对水平。不同机构对2026年原油需求的"起点"本 身，差异就高达200万桶/日以上。所谓"缺失的桶"，并没有消失，而是被统计口径和数据滞后掩盖了。 第三，炼厂 ...

Barclays Appoints Chetan Vohra as Global Head of Securitized ProductsJan 29, 2026 12:43 PM Eastern Standard Time# Barclays Appoints Chetan Vohra as Global Head of Securitized ProductsShare---LONDON & NEW YORK--([BUSINESS WIRE])--Barclays today announced the appointment of Chetan Vohra as Global Head of Securitized Products. Based in New York, Mr. Vohra will report to Adeel Khan, Head of Global Markets, and will join the firm's Global Markets Management Team.In his new role, Mr. Vohra will lead the next phas ...

Core Viewpoint - Tesla is undergoing a significant pivot from traditional automotive models to a focus on physical AI, including autonomous driving and humanoid robots, marking a new phase in its growth [2][4]. Valuation Insights - Tesla's valuation remains challenging, with a market capitalization exceeding $100 billion and trading at over 150 times forward earnings, indicating a disconnect between stock price and near-term fundamentals [4][5]. - The market is currently placing less emphasis on near-term earnings, suggesting that Tesla's stock may remain elevated due to strong retail and technical support [5][6]. Robo Taxi Development - The primary focus for Tesla this year is on scaling the commercialization of its robo taxi service, with efforts to expand operational design domains (ODD) and compete against established players like Waymo [8][13]. - Tesla's potential cost advantage in the robo taxi market is significant, as its vehicles could be priced around $30,000 compared to competitors like Waymo, which costs between $100,000 to $150,000 per vehicle [13]. Humanoid Robot Progress - The humanoid robot initiative is still in the research and development phase, with initial production of the Gen 3 version expected later this year, but the market remains cautious until more concrete advancements are demonstrated [9][15]. - Tesla's AI capabilities and supply chain advantages are seen as key factors that may support its humanoid robot ambitions, despite competition from other players in the market [16][17].

格隆汇1月29日｜富国银行将微软公司目标股价从630美元下调至615美元。巴克莱银行将微软公司目标 股价从610美元下调至600美元。 ...

Breakdown cover and car insurance company RAC is close to selecting banks to lead its initial public offering in London, according to people familiar with the matter.The nearly 130-year-old firm is set to pick Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Bank of America Corp. and Barclays Plc to help arrange a possible listing, the people said, asking not to be identified as the information is private. The listing would value it at around £5 billion ($6.9 billion), the people said. Lazard Inc. is acting as a financial adviser ...

周二（1月27日）纽约时段，美元指数一度跌至95.51创2022年2月份的最低水平，本月累计跌幅扩大至超2.2%。 与此同时，英镑和欧元双双触及四年新高，欧元兑美元日内一度升至1.2081，英镑兑美元最高时报1.3869，均为2021年下半年以 来的最高水平。 三菱日联金融集团（MUFG）分析师表示，在市场对美国政策前景忧虑加剧之际，欧元正在"受益于其作为'反美元货币'的角 色"。 分析认为，美元近期的持续走弱源于美国总统特朗普在内政与外交上反复无常的、缺乏连贯性的政策，这些政策削弱了全球投资 者对美国资产的信心。 英国皇家伦敦资产管理公司跨资产投资主管Trevor Greetham表示："黄金走强、美元走弱，反映出市场对特朗普'混乱、即兴式'政 策的严重疑虑。" 智通财经报道提到，市场普遍猜测美国和日本当局可能会采取协同干预措施，干预市场阻止日元下跌。Greetham称，这反映决策 者根本不在乎美元的下行风险。 分析人士指出，还有多个因素拖累美元，包括美国政府可能停摆、有关美联储主席人选的传闻、以及美国与北约盟友之间的紧张 关系，尤其是格陵兰岛的纷争，将矛盾推向了高潮。 巴克莱银行高级外汇策略师Lefter ...

"果真如此的话，即便近期事件逐渐淡出短期叙事，对新兴市场货币的需求应该也会持续存在。继续做 多高息差新兴市场货币以及新兴市场大宗商品货币仍具价值。"巴克莱指出，"我们预计在这种环境下， 它们将随时间推移而稳步升值。" 市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成，仅供参考，不构成个人投资建议。 来源：市场资讯 巴克莱指出，伴随日元空头头寸解除，叠加发展中经济体资产具备吸引大规模资金流入的空间，新兴市 场货币预计将"显著"跑赢全球主要货币。 "不同于以往的日元空头头寸解除情形，日元走强这一次对新兴市场资产、尤其是新兴市场货币形成支 撑。"巴克莱策略师Marek Raczko等人在报告中写道。 巴克莱表示，美元走弱并未削弱全球风险偏好，当前的全球风险情绪正在为新兴市场货币提供支 撑。"对美元的信心冲击，正在引发新兴市场本币资产配置方面一轮迟来的战略性追赶。"该行认为，资 金流入新兴市场投资组合的空间巨大。 ...

Several of the UK’s largest banks, including HSBC and NatWest, are preparing to increase their profitability forecasts as they issue annual results in the coming weeks, reported Reuters citing sources. HSBC is expected to raise its return on tangible equity (ROTE) guidance, which currently stands at “mid teens or better.” NatWest is also estimated to be considering a revision of its 2027 ROTE target from the present 15% up to 17%, according to the unnamed sources. Barclays, which last year projected a ...

Core Insights - Nearly 60% of the largest banks in the U.S. are either already offering Bitcoin-related services or expect to do so, indicating a significant trend towards Bitcoin adoption in the banking sector [1][5] Group 1: Current Offerings and Initiatives - Major U.S. banks such as JPMorgan Chase have launched Bitcoin trading services, while Citigroup, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley provide Bitcoin exposure primarily to high-net-worth clients [2] - U.S. Bank and BNY Mellon are among the first systemically important banks to offer custody services for Bitcoin [3] - PNC Group has launched both Bitcoin custody and trading services, while State Street and HSBC's U.S. operations have announced custody plans [5] Group 2: Exploratory Stages and Recommendations - Some banks, including Citigroup and Fifth Third, are still in the exploratory stages regarding custody and trading offerings [6] - Bank of America has recommended that clients allocate up to 4% of their portfolios to cryptocurrencies, reflecting a shift in stance even among banks without direct Bitcoin products [4][9] - Bank of America also plans to initiate coverage of four U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which provide direct exposure to Bitcoin [10] Group 3: Banks Yet to Enter the Market - Despite the growing momentum, a significant minority of large U.S. banks have not yet announced Bitcoin-related products or plans, with nine banks remaining on the sidelines [7][8][11]