卓创资讯：本周期成品油零售限价上调概率较大，但预期涨幅收窄

Core Viewpoint - The analysis from Zhaochuang Information indicates that during the current retail price adjustment cycle for refined oil (from October 27 to November 10), international crude oil prices have shown a narrow fluctuation and a downward trend in average values, leading to a significant decrease in the crude oil change rate after a high starting point. The probability of an increase in retail price for refined oil is high, but the expected increase is narrowing [1] Group 1 - The crude oil change rate as of November 6 is reported at 3.12%, suggesting an expected increase in gasoline and diesel prices by 135 CNY per ton [1] - The anticipated price adjustments for 92 gasoline, 95 gasoline, and 0 diesel are expected to rise by 0.11 CNY [1] - There is still one working day before the price adjustment window opens, indicating that the expected increase may further narrow [1]