东方证券:维持吉利汽车“买入”评级 目标价24.51港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-11-07 08:23

Core Viewpoint - Dongfang Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Geely Automobile, forecasting EPS for 2025-2027 to be 1.49, 1.75, and 2.12 RMB respectively, with a target price of 22.35 RMB (24.51 HKD) based on a PE average of 15 times for comparable companies [1] Sales Performance - In October, Geely's total sales reached 307,100 units, a year-on-year increase of 35.5% and a month-on-month increase of 12.5%, setting a new monthly sales record [2] - New energy vehicle sales for October were 177,900 units, showing a year-on-year growth of 63.6% and a month-on-month growth of 7.7% [2] - From January to October, total sales amounted to 2,477,300 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 44.3% [2] - The company is expected to outperform the industry average, with a strong likelihood of achieving its annual sales target of 3 million units [2] Brand Development - Geely's brand sales in October reached 245,500 units, a year-on-year increase of 43.9% and a month-on-month increase of 10.6% [3] - The Galaxy brand achieved sales of 127,500 units in October, marking a year-on-year increase of 100.8% and surpassing its annual sales target of 1 million units ahead of schedule [3] - The launch of new models, such as the 2026 Geely Xingyuan and Galaxy Xingyao 6, is expected to enhance the product matrix and contribute to future sales growth [3] - Geely signed an agreement with Renault to acquire 26.4% of Renault's Brazilian operations, which will facilitate the introduction of new energy vehicles in Brazil [3] Lynk & Co Brand Performance - Lynk & Co's sales in October reached 40,200 units, a year-on-year increase of 29.4% and a month-on-month increase of 22.2% [4] - The brand's weighted average price exceeded 200,000 RMB, with new energy vehicle sales accounting for 72.1% of total sales [4] - Key models such as Lynk & Co 900 and Lynk & Co 10EM-P have shown strong initial sales performance, indicating potential for future growth [4]