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降息生变,黄金新一轮突破!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-07 09:33

Market Overview - Gold prices experienced significant volatility, with a daily fluctuation of $55, closing at $3977.03, a slight decrease of nearly 0.1%. Currently, gold is trading around $4012 [1] - The U.S. stock market saw all three major indices decline, with the Nasdaq dropping by 445.81 points (1.90%), the S&P 500 down by 1.12%, and the Dow Jones falling by 0.84% [2] Employment Data - Revelio Labs reported a downward revision of September's job additions from 60,000 to 33,000, with October showing a loss of 9,100 jobs, marking the second worst performance of the year [4] Monetary Policy Uncertainty - Uncertainty regarding monetary policy is increasing market volatility, with mixed signals from Federal Reserve officials about future interest rate cuts. The expectation for a December rate cut has sharply decreased following a hawkish cut in October [5] - Cleveland Fed President Mester expressed concerns about persistent inflation levels, indicating that the Fed may not be prepared for further rate cuts, despite acknowledging issues in the labor market [5] - Chicago Fed President Goolsbee voiced unease about rate cuts due to a lack of inflation data during the government shutdown, contributing to a "policy vacuum" that typically leads to heightened market volatility [7] Tariff and Trade Issues - The U.S. Supreme Court is reviewing the legality of Trump's comprehensive tariff policy, which could have significant implications if the government loses the case. Trump has stated he will not announce new tariffs during the court's deliberation [8][10] AI Investment Concerns - A scenario reminiscent of the 2008 financial crisis is unfolding around AI investments, with Michael Burry publicly shorting Nvidia and Palantir, while Deutsche Bank considers shorting AI stocks to hedge against risks in data center loans [11] - Global regulatory bodies are warning about an AI asset bubble, with the Monetary Authority of Singapore highlighting "tense valuations" in the tech and AI sectors, suggesting a potential sharp correction [13] - CEOs from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley have issued warnings about high valuations in the U.S. stock market, predicting at least a 10% correction [14]