【UNFX财经事件】中美缓和推动情绪修复 黄金维持强势整理格局

Group 1 - Recent positive signals in US-China relations, including the US pausing sanctions on China's shipbuilding industry and initiating a public consultation process to suspend tariff increases for one year, are seen as significant progress in bilateral relations, boosting market confidence [1] - The Dow Jones futures rose approximately 0.20%, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures increased by 0.25% and 0.33% respectively, following a period of market pressure due to corrections in the technology and AI sectors [1] - The latest employment data indicates signs of economic cooling, with October layoffs exceeding 153,000, marking the highest level in over 20 years, reinforcing expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December [1] Group 2 - The CME FedWatch tool indicates a 67% probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, up from 60% the previous week, which has contributed to a positive sentiment in the stock market and provided solid support for gold [1] - Despite an increase in risk appetite, safe-haven sentiment has not completely dissipated due to concerns over the ongoing US government shutdown, which has lasted over five weeks, potentially impacting the economy [1] - The US Supreme Court's hearings on the legality of presidential tariff powers have heightened policy uncertainty, leading to a resurgence of safe-haven sentiment that supports gold prices [1] Group 3 - Gold (XAU/USD) stabilized above $4,000 but failed to break the overnight high, with market volatility increasing due to the divergence between the dollar's rebound and rate cut expectations [2] - Technically, if gold prices break through the resistance zone of $4,020–$4,030, they may further test the $4,045–$4,050 range and approach the $4,100 mark; conversely, a drop below the support zone of $3,975–$3,965 could see prices retreat to around $3,929 [2] - The market remains in a pattern of intertwining policy expectations and safe-haven sentiment, with gold supported by both rate cut expectations and safe-haven demand, maintaining its position above $4,000 [2]