美联储调查：美国人对就业市场的看法在10月恶化，通胀预期回落

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates a deterioration in public perception of the job market in October, while inflation expectations have slightly decreased [1][2] - The New York Fed's survey coincides with a similar trend observed in the University of Michigan's survey, where 71% of respondents expect unemployment to rise in the next year, more than double the rate from the previous year [1] - The survey results suggest increasing concerns about the job market amid signs of weakness, which may exacerbate internal divisions within the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate policies [1] Group 2 - Consumer price inflation expectations for the next year have decreased from 3.4% in September to 3.2% in October, while long-term inflation expectations remain stable around 3% [2] - There is a mixed outlook on commodity prices, with expectations for declines in gasoline and food prices, but an increase in anticipated medical cost inflation to the highest level since February 2023 [2] - The probability of higher unemployment in the next year has risen to 43%, the highest since April, indicating a growing concern among consumers about job security [2] - Perceptions of household financial conditions continue to worsen, with more respondents indicating their financial situation is worse than a year ago and expecting further deterioration [2] - There is an improvement in the perception of credit availability, with the proportion of households believing loans are harder to obtain dropping to the lowest level since 2022 [2]