邓正红能源软实力：能源政策转向 能源市场规则主导权转移 国际油价小幅走高

Group 1: Oil Market Dynamics - The oil market is currently experiencing a volatile upward trend influenced by geopolitical factors, with international oil prices showing slight increases [1] - As of November 7, West Texas Intermediate crude oil settled at $59.75 per barrel, up 0.54%, while Brent crude oil settled at $63.63 per barrel, up 0.39% [1] - The U.S. has intensified restrictions on purchasing Russian oil, leading to Gunvor Group withdrawing its acquisition offer for assets from Russian Lukoil, which includes oil fields and refineries [1] Group 2: U.S. Energy Policy Shift - U.S. energy officials emphasize that global renewable energy investments have not met expectations, advocating for a focus on stable fossil fuel supply [2][4] - The U.S. has become Europe's largest oil and gas supplier, with American energy companies seeking to expand their market share in Europe as the EU plans to cut remaining Russian energy imports [2][4] - The Trump administration's energy policy is shifting towards deregulation and promoting fossil fuel dominance as a strategy to boost the U.S. economy and international influence [2][4] Group 3: Supply and Demand Balance - The recent decline in oil prices is attributed to a shift in energy market rule dominance, with U.S. crude oil inventories surging and production reaching new highs [4] - The manufacturing PMI decline and a stronger dollar are further suppressing oil prices [4] - OPEC's transition from production control to rule-making is impacting market expectations, with the U.S. inventory increase exacerbating concerns over supply surplus [3][4] Group 4: Geopolitical Influences - U.S. sanctions on Russian oil companies have led to a temporary spike in international oil prices, although the overall impact on global supply is assessed to be minimal [3] - Hungary's exemption from U.S. energy sanctions alleviates market concerns about supply shortages, as Hungary's reliance on Russian oil imports is projected to rise significantly [3] - The collaboration between the U.S. and Europe in energy supply is strengthening, with multiple U.S. energy companies signing agreements for gas supply and drilling in Europe [3][4]