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百胜中国(9987.HK):同店延续正增长 加盟助力开店提速
Ge Long Hui·2025-11-08 05:23

Core Insights - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of $3.206 billion, a 4% increase, operating profit of $400 million, an 8% increase, and net profit attributable to shareholders of $282 million, a 5% decrease (adjusted for Meituan investment impact, net profit increased by 7%) [1] - The company returned $414 million to shareholders in Q3 2025, including $326 million in share buybacks and $88 million in cash dividends, with a total return of $950 million to shareholders in the first three quarters and an expected annual return of approximately $1.5 billion [1] Sales Performance - Same-store sales continued to show positive growth, with overall sales for the company/KFC/Pizza Hut increasing by 4%/5%/4% year-on-year, and same-store sales increasing by 1%/2%/1% respectively [1] - KFC's average transaction value decreased by 1%, while transaction volume increased by 3%; Pizza Hut's average transaction value decreased by 13%, while transaction volume increased by 17% [1] - The company added a net of 536 new stores in Q3 2025, with KFC contributing 402 new stores and Pizza Hut contributing 158 new stores [1] Profitability and Cost Structure - The company's operating profit margin improved to 12.5%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points, with restaurant profit margins at 17.3%, up 0.3 percentage points [2] - KFC and Pizza Hut restaurant profit margins were 18.5% and 13.4%, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 0.2 percentage points and 0.6 percentage points [2] - The increase in delivery sales, which accounted for 51% of total sales (up 11 percentage points), led to higher rider costs [2] Investment Outlook - The company adjusted its profit forecast, expecting revenues of $11.792 billion, $12.350 billion, and $13.013 billion for 2025-2027, with net profits of $917 million, $983 million, and $1.061 billion respectively [2] - The expected EPS for the same period is $2.53, $2.71, and $2.93, with the latest stock price corresponding to PE ratios of 17, 16, and 15 times [2]