中国外储连续三月超3.3万亿美元 央行买金节奏有变

Core Insights - As of the end of October 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves reached $33,433 billion, marking an increase of $4.7 billion from the end of September, the highest level since December 2015 [1] - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has increased its gold reserves for the 12th consecutive month, with gold reserves reported at 7.409 million ounces (approximately 2304.457 tons) as of the end of October, an increase of 30,000 ounces [1][5] - The rise in foreign exchange reserves is attributed to the combined effects of currency exchange rate fluctuations and asset price changes, with a notable increase in global financial asset prices [2][3] Foreign Exchange Reserves - The increase in foreign exchange reserves is primarily driven by the valuation effects from changes in exchange rates and asset prices, with the dollar index rising by 1.9% in October [2][3] - Despite the dollar's strength, global stock indices, particularly the Nikkei 225, saw significant gains, which helped offset the potential decline in reserves due to non-dollar asset depreciation [2][3] - The PBOC's statement emphasizes the stability of China's economic fundamentals, which supports the maintenance of foreign exchange reserves [1][4] Gold Reserves - China's gold reserves increased by $13.9 billion to $297.2 billion, with the proportion of gold reserves to total foreign exchange reserves rising to 8.89%, a historical high [6] - The pace of gold accumulation by the PBOC has slowed this year, with monthly increases decreasing from 160,000 ounces in January to 30,000 ounces in October [6] - The global trend of central banks increasing gold holdings is noted, with a total net purchase of 220 tons in Q3 2025, reflecting a 28% increase from Q2 [7] Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the PBOC will continue to increase gold reserves to optimize the international reserve structure and support the internationalization of the renminbi [8] - The current gold holdings in China's international reserves are significantly below the global average of around 15%, indicating room for further accumulation [8] - The strategy of gradual gold purchases is seen as a way to mitigate market volatility and manage costs effectively [7][8]