欧洲终于清醒：弃乌换气、与俄和好、甩锅美国，才是止损上上策？

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the shifting dynamics in Europe regarding its support for Ukraine amidst the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, highlighting a growing sentiment to reconsider alliances and strategies, particularly in relation to the United States and Russia [1][5]. Economic Impact - Europe has incurred significant economic costs due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, with estimates indicating that the EU will spend over €300 billion on energy imports in 2024 alone [3]. - Energy prices in Germany and France have surged to five times their previous levels, contributing to persistent inflation and forcing major companies like Mercedes and Siemens to relocate production to the U.S. [3]. - Many EU member states are experiencing structural deficits exceeding 3%, compounded by rising public debt, which poses a heavy burden on economic recovery [3]. Political Dynamics - The article notes a shift in political sentiment within Europe, with figures like former Italian ambassador Elena Bačić advocating for recognition of Russia's security concerns, which resonates with some European leaders [4]. - Slovakia's new government has halted military aid to Ukraine, while protests in the Czech Republic reflect public discontent over financial support for the conflict [4]. Strategic Considerations - There is a growing notion among European leaders to pivot away from unwavering support for Ukraine, suggesting a potential realignment with Russia to secure energy cooperation and alleviate economic pressures [5]. - However, this strategy faces significant challenges, including the need to navigate U.S. interests, rebuild trust with Russia, and manage Ukraine's response to any perceived betrayal [5][8]. Future Outlook - The article posits that Europe must take substantial actions to assert its independence from U.S. influence and avoid being treated as a mere resource by either the U.S. or Russia [10]. - The upcoming winter poses additional challenges for Europe, as energy costs continue to rise, raising questions about the viability of the proposed strategy of "abandoning Ukraine, courting Russia, and distancing from the U.S." [10].