银轮股份(002126)：营收稳健增长 数字能源&具身智能持续拓展

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 11.1 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 20%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 670 million yuan, up 11% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.9 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27% and a year-on-year increase of 3.7% [1] - The growth in revenue is driven by the heavy truck and new energy passenger vehicle sectors, with wholesale volumes of heavy trucks and new energy passenger vehicles increasing by 20% and 32% year-on-year, respectively [1] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company's gross margin was 19%, and net margin was 7%, showing improvements year-on-year [1] - The company’s operating expenses for Q3 2025 included sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios of 1.6%, 4.8%, 4.1%, and 0.6%, respectively, with sales expenses increasing due to expansion in overseas and emerging markets [1] Global Expansion and Future Growth - The company is making progress in its global operations, with North America achieving a revenue of 790 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a 12% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 34 million yuan, up 93% [2] - The digital energy sector is expanding steadily, with new projects expected to generate an additional annual revenue of 637 million yuan once in mass production [2] - The company is also focusing on embodied intelligence, with significant advancements in product development and partnerships to enhance its market position [2] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to accelerate its growth as a leader in full-scene thermal management, with projected revenues of 15.1 billion yuan, 17.5 billion yuan, and 20.1 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 19%, 16%, and 15% respectively [2] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 990 million yuan, 1.23 billion yuan, and 1.48 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 26%, 24%, and 20% respectively [2]