Are Wall Street Analysts Predicting Archer-Daniels-Midland Stock Will Climb or Sink?

Core Insights - Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) has a market cap of $27 billion and operates in the procurement, transportation, storage, processing, and merchandising of agricultural commodities globally [1] Performance Overview - ADM stock has underperformed the broader market, with a year-to-date increase of 12.3% and a 52-week gain of 6.5%, compared to the S&P 500 Index's gains of 14.3% in 2025 and 13.4% over the past year [2] - The stock has outperformed the Vaneck Agribusiness ETF (MOO), which saw an 8.4% increase year-to-date and a 2.2% decline over the past 52 weeks [3] Q3 Financial Results - In Q3, ADM reported a 2.2% year-over-year increase in revenue to $20.4 billion, missing expectations by 1.4% [4] - Adjusted EPS decreased from $1.09 to $0.92 but exceeded consensus estimates by 3.4% [4] Guidance and Analyst Ratings - The company revised its full-year EPS guidance down from $4.00 to a range of $3.25 - $3.50 [5] - Analysts expect an adjusted EPS of $3.45 for fiscal 2025, reflecting a 27.2% year-over-year decline [6] - The consensus rating among 11 analysts is a "Hold," with one "Strong Buy," seven "Holds," two "Moderate Sells," and one "Strong Sell" [6] Recent Downgrade - On November 5, JP Morgan downgraded ADM from "Equal-Weight" to "Underweight" and lowered the price target from $61 to $59 [7]