【UNFX本周总结】全球政策分歧与黄金波动：避险情绪卷土重来

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75% to 4.0%, indicating a release of liquidity but uncertainty about future rate cuts due to mixed economic data [1] - Current U.S. economic indicators show "moderate inflation decline and weakening employment momentum," with fluctuating prices of essential goods affecting inflation stability [1] - The ongoing budget negotiations and partial government shutdown have increased fiscal uncertainty, amplifying market volatility and leading to heightened interest in defensive assets like gold and bonds [1] Group 2 - In response to a complex external environment, multiple central banks are strengthening regional financial cooperation through tools like currency swap agreements and cross-border liquidity arrangements [2] - There is a frequent flow of funds between safe-haven and risk assets, with institutional investors adopting defensive strategies and increasing allocations to options and hedging tools to prepare for potential market volatility [2] - The current global market dynamics are driven by two main themes: central banks recalibrating policies amid inflation and employment challenges, and rising demand for safe-haven assets due to fiscal and geopolitical uncertainties [2]