10月中国物价指数释放积极信号

Core Insights - The inflation data for October indicates a steady recovery in China's economic vitality and domestic demand, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showing a year-on-year increase of 0.2% and a core CPI increase of 1.2%, marking the highest level since March 2024 [2][5][14] CPI Analysis - The CPI turned from a decline of 0.3% in September to an increase of 0.2% in October, with food prices decreasing by 2.9%, but the decline has narrowed [3][6] - The core CPI's continuous rise suggests a robust recovery in domestic consumption, particularly in service consumption, indicating a solid foundation for overall prices [5][6] PPI Analysis - The Producer Price Index (PPI) saw a month-on-month increase of 0.1% in October, marking the first rise of the year, while the year-on-year decline narrowed to 2.1% [2][7] - Factors contributing to the narrowing decline in PPI include improved supply-demand relationships and ongoing capacity governance in key industries [9][10] Future Outlook - The outlook for inflation suggests a "strong food, weak energy, stable core" scenario, with potential for slight rebounds in food prices due to seasonal factors [6][10] - The government's focus on expanding domestic demand and enhancing consumer spending is expected to support economic growth and stabilize inflation levels [12][14]