星巴克，还会降价吗？

Core Viewpoint - Starbucks China is undergoing significant changes following the sale of a 60% stake to Boyu Capital, raising questions about its future direction and pricing strategy [3][4][10]. Group 1: Sale Details - Starbucks will form a joint venture with Boyu Capital to operate its retail business in China, with Boyu holding up to 60% equity and Starbucks retaining 40% [3]. - The joint venture is valued at approximately 28.49 billion RMB (4 billion USD) [3]. - This sale indicates that Starbucks is relinquishing core decision-making power in its Chinese retail operations [3][4]. Group 2: Market Position and Performance - Starbucks China is losing market dominance compared to Luckin Coffee, which reported a 47.1% year-on-year revenue growth to 12.36 billion RMB, while Starbucks China’s revenue grew only 8% to 7.9 billion USD (approximately 56.26 billion RMB) [4]. - As of now, Luckin has over 26,000 stores, while Starbucks China has only 8,000, indicating a significant gap in market presence [5]. Group 3: Strategic Changes - Starbucks is shifting towards empowering its Chinese team, which has led to a 6% year-on-year revenue increase to 8.316 billion USD (approximately 59.13 billion RMB) in Q3, with same-store sales up 2% and transaction volume up 9% [7]. - The introduction of new products and price reductions has been part of this strategy, although the average transaction value has decreased by 7% [7]. Group 4: Future Expansion Plans - The plan is to expand Starbucks' store count in China to 20,000, which poses challenges in maintaining a high average spending per customer in lower-tier markets [10][11]. - Achieving this expansion may necessitate price reductions, although significant cuts may be difficult due to higher operational costs compared to competitors like Luckin and Kudi [13][15]. Group 5: Operational Considerations - Starbucks' operational costs are higher due to its premium pricing strategy and employee benefits, making substantial price reductions unlikely [13][14]. - A potential shift in operational model may be required to meet the ambitious store expansion goals, raising questions about the impact on service quality and brand identity [16][17].