松霖科技(603992):卡位机器人高增赛道 有望率先落地养老领域

Core Insights - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with revenue at 1.852 billion yuan, down 15.49% year-on-year, and net profit at 159 million yuan, down 50.53% year-on-year [1] - The company is facing challenges due to tariffs and trade conflicts, with approximately 25%-30% of its revenue coming from major U.S. brand clients [2] - The company is accelerating the establishment of its production base in Vietnam to mitigate the impact of U.S.-China trade tensions and expand its market presence in the U.S. [2] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 712 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.33%, and net profit of 66 million yuan, down 34.10% year-on-year [1] - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 33.12%, a decrease of 2.28 percentage points year-on-year, while the Q3 gross profit margin was 32.48%, down 3.03 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The net profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 8.57%, down 6.07 percentage points year-on-year, and for Q3, it was 9.21%, down 4.16 percentage points year-on-year [3] Strategic Developments - The company is entering the robotics sector, focusing on both B2B and consumer-grade robots, with plans to launch products in Q4 2025 and participate in exhibitions in H1 2026 [2] - The robotics business aims to create a new growth driver, with a focus on logistics and care service robots for B2B applications, and consumer robots for C-end markets [2] - The company has completed the planning and design of its robotics business and is currently in the development and validation phase [2] Future Outlook - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 3.047 billion yuan, 3.427 billion yuan, and 3.867 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 1.06%, 12.48%, and 12.83% respectively [4] - Net profit projections for the same period are 312 million yuan, 366 million yuan, and 482 million yuan, with growth rates of -30.12%, 17.46%, and 31.49% respectively [4] - The company is expected to maintain a PE ratio of 52.07x for 2025, with a target price of 37.52 yuan, maintaining a "Buy-A" investment rating [4]