黄金早参丨美政府停摆时长创记录，黄金下行驱动放缓，短期或震荡调整为主

Group 1 - The market experienced a cooling effect due to uncertainties and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, leading to a continued fluctuation in gold prices, although the downward pressure has eased [1] - As of the close, COMEX gold futures rose by 0.28% to $4007.82 per ounce, ending a two-week decline, while the China Gold ETF (518850) saw a slight weekly drop of 0.03%, and the gold stock ETF (159562) fell by 2.53% [1] - The U.S. government shutdown has reached a historic duration, with no agreement on the funding bill between the two parties, and the economic impact of the shutdown is becoming evident, potentially reducing the fourth-quarter economic growth by up to 2 percentage points according to the Congressional Budget Office [1] Group 2 - Mixed signals from economic indicators such as the ISM manufacturing PMI, Challenger job cuts, and weak consumer confidence, along with the ongoing government shutdown, have contributed to a slight weakening of the dollar index and fluctuations in U.S. Treasury yields [1] - The uncertainty in the macroeconomic environment suggests that precious metals may continue to experience significant volatility in the short term, as multiple driving factors have yet to be fully realized [1]