Core Viewpoint - The report from交银国际 predicts a slight decrease in revenue and an increase in gross margin for华虹半导体 in Q4 2025, with adjustments made to the revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027, while maintaining a buy rating with a target price of 91 HKD [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Q3 2025 revenue was reported at 6.35 billion USD, meeting expectations, while gross margin was 13.5%, exceeding both the bank's forecast of 11.6% and the previous guidance of 12% [2] - The management indicated that the increase in gross margin is attributed to improved capacity utilization, cost reduction, and price increases [2] - For Q4 2025, the management guided revenue between 6.5 billion and 6.6 billion USD, with a gross margin forecast of 12% to 14% [2] Group 2: Capacity and Capital Expenditure - The estimated capacity for the 9A plant is approximately 34,000 wafers per month, with an expected increase of nearly 9,000 wafers per month [2] - Management anticipates that the 9A plant will reach a capacity of 60,000 to 65,000 wafers per month by mid-2026, with total investment for the plant amounting to 6.7 billion USD [2] - The company is expected to spend over 5 billion USD on the 9A plant construction by the end of 2025, with remaining expenditures of 1.3 to 1.5 billion USD in 2026 [2] Group 3: Pricing and Market Demand - The average selling price (ASP) increased by over 5% quarter-on-quarter in Q3 2025, reflecting price hikes implemented since Q2 2025 [3] - Demand across various platforms has shown improvement, with significant growth in revenue from PMIC products, driven by AI server demand, increasing over 32% year-on-year [3] - The management is considering further price adjustments, although specific increases have not been quantified, and the strategy may focus on allocating capacity to high-demand platforms [3]
交银国际：维持华虹半导体(01347)“买入”评级 目标价91港元