GuoCheng Mining(SZ:000688) Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-10 02:25Core Viewpoint - The recent performance of the non-ferrous metal ETF (512400) indicates a strong upward trend, driven by significant inflows and positive market sentiment towards the sector, particularly in light of ongoing central bank policies and global demand for gold and battery materials [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of November 10, 2025, the non-ferrous metal ETF (512400) rose by 2.19%, marking its fourth consecutive increase, with a trading volume of 240 million yuan [1]. - The CSI Shenwan Non-Ferrous Metal Index surged by 2.14%, with notable gains from constituent stocks such as Guocheng Mining (+9.99%), Hunan Gold (+6.21%), and Shengxin Lithium Energy (+5.90%) [1]. - Over the past 21 trading days, the non-ferrous metal ETF (512400) has seen a net inflow of 884 million yuan [1]. Group 2: Central Bank and Gold Demand - The central bank's latest report shows that as of the end of October, its gold reserves increased to 7.409 million ounces, up by 30,000 ounces from September, marking the 12th consecutive month of accumulation [1]. - Long-term forecasts suggest that interest rate cuts and policies from former President Trump may drive gold prices higher, with central bank purchases providing a supportive floor for prices [1]. Group 3: Battery and Storage Demand - According to CITIC Securities, the energy storage policy in 2025 is expected to drive an unexpected increase in demand for energy storage batteries, with improvements in battery capacity and trade-in policies boosting demand for power batteries [1]. - The global demand for lithium salt is anticipated to continue exceeding expectations, supported by the ongoing growth in energy storage and power battery sectors [1]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - Recent market trends indicate a bullish sentiment towards cyclical sectors, particularly in coal, non-ferrous metals, certain chemicals, new energy, photovoltaic industry chains, and memory storage [2]. - Non-ferrous metals, steel, and building materials are highlighted as potential cyclical investment opportunities based on supply-side changes and free cash flow levels [2]. Group 5: Index Composition - The CSI Shenwan Non-Ferrous Metal Index comprises 50 listed companies selected from the non-ferrous metals and non-metallic materials sectors to reflect the overall performance of the industry in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets [2]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include Zijin Mining, Northern Rare Earth, Luoyang Molybdenum, Huayou Cobalt, China Aluminum, Shandong Gold, Zhongjin Gold, Tianqi Lithium, Ganfeng Lithium, and China Rare Earth [2].