Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Federal Reserve has announced a 0.25% interest rate cut, marking the second reduction this year, which aligns with market expectations. This has led to a corresponding decrease in Hong Kong's base rate, impacting borrowing costs and potentially stimulating the housing market [1][5]. Group 1: Interest Rate Changes - The Federal Funds rate target range has been lowered to 3.75% to 4% following the recent cut [1]. - Hong Kong's Monetary Authority has reduced its base rate to 4.25%, with local banks adjusting their prime rates and savings rates accordingly, albeit at a smaller margin [1][6]. - The cumulative interest rate hikes in the U.S. from 2022 to 2023 reached 5.25%, while Hong Kong's banks only increased rates by 0.875% [1]. Group 2: Impact on Housing Market - The reduction in interest rates is expected to lower borrowing costs, easing the financial burden on homebuyers and enhancing their purchasing power, particularly for first-time buyers [1][2]. - For a mortgage of 5 million HKD over 30 years, the monthly payment decreases by approximately 344 HKD with the new interest rate of 3.25%, making it easier for middle-class families to meet bank mortgage requirements [2]. - The rental market is also benefiting, with rental yields in Hong Kong surpassing those in major mainland cities, attracting more investment [2][3]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The low-interest environment is anticipated to support the recovery of the Hong Kong property market, with rising rental indices further enhancing investment attractiveness [2][3]. - Recent sales of new properties have been strong, indicating improved buyer confidence following the interest rate cuts [3][4]. - However, the secondary market has seen a decline in transactions as buyers shift focus to new developments, suggesting a potential imbalance in market activity [4][5]. Group 4: Predictions and Economic Indicators - Experts predict that property prices may see a slight increase of 2-3% in 2025, with a potential recovery of 5% next year, although current market conditions may limit significant price rebounds [5][6]. - The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting in December is being closely monitored for further interest rate decisions, which could influence Hong Kong's economic landscape [5][6]. - The consensus among industry analysts is that the interest rate reduction cycle in Hong Kong may be nearing its end, with banks unlikely to follow further U.S. cuts due to high funding costs [6][7].