Aviation Industry - The aviation sector is expected to achieve industry-wide profitability in October, driven by strong private travel demand and active business travel post-holiday, with an estimated 5% year-on-year increase in passenger flow [1] - Domestic oil prices remain stable year-on-year, while ticket prices have risen by 3-4%, indicating a positive trend for the industry [1] - The traditional seasonal impact of the transition period is weaker than in previous years, with a continued year-on-year increase in passenger load factors and domestic ticket prices [1] - The airline industry may enter a "super cycle," with market-driven ticket pricing and robust demand growth expected to elevate profitability by 2026 [1] Oil Shipping Industry - Q4 2025 is projected to see oil shipping profits reach a ten-year high, with expectations of a super bull market [2] - Increased oil production in the Middle East and South America, along with U.S. sanctions on Russia, are positively impacting compliant VLCCs and driving freight rates higher [2] - Despite a recent slight decline in freight rates, the overall market sentiment remains optimistic, with expectations of continued growth in oil shipping demand due to global oil production increases [2] Express Delivery Industry - The express delivery sector shows significant effects from anti-involution measures, with a slight slowdown in business volume growth but notable improvements in per-package revenue [3] - In Q3 2025, the industry saw a year-on-year volume growth of over 13%, while per-package revenue decreased by 5.8% [3] - Major express companies like Shentong, YTO, and Yunda reported varying growth rates in package volume and net profit, indicating a trend of price increases in key regions [3] - SF Express outperformed the industry with over 8% revenue growth and over 33% volume growth in Q3 2025, although net profit declined due to strategic investments [3]
国泰海通:航空量价继续上升 油运业Q4业绩新高