Hoshine Silicon(SH:603260) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-11-10 06:37Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, while showing improvement in cash flow from operating activities [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 15.206 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 25.35% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -0.321 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 122.1% [1] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring items was -0.271 billion yuan, down 120.61% year-on-year [1] - The net cash flow from operating activities was 3.727 billion yuan, an increase of 104.94% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 5.430 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 23.51% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 19.42% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders in Q3 was 0.076 billion yuan, down 84.12% year-on-year but up 111.52% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring items in Q3 was 0.262 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 37% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 135% [1] Group 2: Product Performance - In Q3 2025, the sales volumes for industrial silicon, silicone rubber, silicone oil, and cyclic siloxane were 347,000 tons, 194,700 tons, 14,300 tons, and 5,100 tons, respectively, with changes of +61.69%, +19.18%, -10.30%, and -4.47% quarter-on-quarter [2] - The prices of industrial silicon, silicone rubber, silicone oil, and cyclic siloxane changed by +8.11%, -8.49%, -11.09%, and -7.10% quarter-on-quarter, respectively [2] - The decline in raw material prices, particularly for ores, has contributed to a recovery in profitability [2] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 8.67%, a year-on-year decrease of 10.94 percentage points, while the net profit margin was 1.36%, down 5.25 percentage points year-on-year [2] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The photovoltaic industry is addressing low-price competition through policies, leading to an increase in product prices above cost lines and a rise in demand for polysilicon products [3] - The organic silicon market faced weak orders in Q3 2025, resulting in continuous price declines, but there are expectations for price recovery in Q4 due to seasonal demand and maintenance [3] Group 4: Investment Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.33 billion yuan, 1.334 billion yuan, and 2.404 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 488.83X, 48.62X, and 26.97X [4] - The investment rating is maintained at "Buy" [5]