DLS MARKETS：英镑兑美元三连涨终结，为何回落至1.3150？

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the GBP/USD exchange rate is influenced by the strengthening of the US dollar due to the potential resolution of the US government shutdown and concerns regarding the UK central bank's future interest rate decisions [1][2][4] Group 2 - The US dollar has strengthened as a result of bipartisan support for a budget agreement that would restore operations for some federal agencies and pay federal employees, alleviating market concerns about economic and financial uncertainty [1] - The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates by 25 basis points in December, with a probability close to 66%, driven by rising layoff numbers in US companies, which has led to increased investor expectations for a rate cut [1] - The Bank of England has maintained its interest rate at 4.0%, with future rate cuts dependent on inflation trends, and market expectations suggest a potential rate cut before Christmas [2] - The technical analysis shows that the GBP/USD is currently around 1.3150, with short-term support at 1.3120 and resistance at 1.3200, indicating a weak short-term trend but potential for rebound based on US economic data and Bank of England signals [2]