Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in gold prices is driven by multiple factors, including a significant increase in layoffs in the U.S. private sector, a notable decline in global AI-related stocks, and ongoing geopolitical tensions across various regions [1][6]. Gold Price Movement - On November 10, gold prices experienced a sharp increase, with spot and futures prices reaching new highs for November. As of 13:20, London gold was quoted at $4,053.37 per ounce, up 1.32%, while COMEX gold was at $4,062.10 per ounce, up 1.30% [1]. - The gold jewelry index in the A-share market rose by 1.91%, with notable increases in individual stocks such as Cuihua Jewelry (+7.76%), Hunan Gold (+4.92%), and Chaohongji (+4.48%) [1][2]. Domestic Gold Jewelry Prices - Domestic gold jewelry brands have also seen price increases, with prices for major brands such as Chow Tai Fook at 1,279 RMB per gram, Lao Feng Xiang at 1,273 RMB per gram, and Chow Sang Sang at 1,276 RMB per gram [3][4]. - Major brands, including Chow Tai Fook, have raised prices due to increased costs from recent tax policies affecting gold procurement and production [4]. Market Outlook - Analysts suggest that the recent rise in gold prices is supported by a weaker U.S. dollar, risks of government shutdown, and geopolitical tensions. The Challenger report indicated that layoffs in October exceeded 150,000, the highest level in over 20 years, which has led to expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [6]. - According to China International Capital Corporation (CICC), gold prices may continue to rise in the coming year, supported by the trend of de-globalization and strategic security concerns prompting emerging market central banks to increase gold reserves [6].
金价,突然大涨!