美国政府停摆有望落幕 风险偏好回暖 新兴市场股汇两市反弹

Group 1 - Emerging markets, particularly technology stocks related to AI, experienced a significant rebound following optimism about the end of the longest government shutdown in U.S. history, with the MSCI Emerging Markets Index rising nearly 2% [1][4] - The Korean Composite Stock Price Index (Kospi) led the Asian markets, driven by strong performance from major tech firms like SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics, supported by reports of potential tax cuts and increased pension stock allocations [4][5] - Japanese stocks, particularly those linked to AI, surged as AMD and SanDisk reported strong earnings driven by the AI boom, alleviating concerns about an "AI bubble" [5] Group 2 - The MSCI Asia-Pacific Index has seen a significant rebound, up approximately 25% year-to-date, despite a previous downturn attributed to fears of overvaluation in the tech sector [5] - A potential "short squeeze" in the U.S. stock market could boost bullish sentiment globally, with an estimated $1 trillion expected to flow back into the U.S. economy if the government shutdown is resolved [6] - Goldman Sachs noted an increase in long positions in the S&P 500 futures, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards bullishness despite recent weak index performance [6]