Ge Long Hui·2025-11-10 09:10Core Viewpoint - The outlook for the Hong Kong stock market in 2026 is optimistic, with 2025 being characterized as a bull market driven by various factors including industry trends, fundamental improvements, and liquidity narratives [1] Market Trends - The Chinese market in 2025 is expected to exceed expectations across multiple dimensions, supported by trends in AI and improvements in fundamentals due to fiscal stimulus and private credit recovery [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index has seen a 30% increase, primarily driven by risk premium contributions [1] Market Phenomena - Notable market phenomena in 2025 include: 1. Assets with differing underlying logic, such as gold, dividends, and growth stocks, often rising together [1] 2. A concentrated market structure where 15 stocks contributed to 70% of the index's gains, while half of the stocks underperformed the index [1] 3. Significant rotation among sectors, with internet stocks leading in Q1, new consumption in Q2, innovative pharmaceuticals in Q3, and a return to internet stocks in Q4 [1] Key Drivers for 2026 - The core drivers for the market's upward movement in 2026 include liquidity narratives, fundamental improvements, and technological trends [1] - Distinguishing between temporary recoveries and sustainable trends will be crucial for assessing the next steps in the bull market [1] Industry Trend Portfolio - The report includes a list of industry trend stocks with various metrics such as market capitalization, dividend yield, and price-to-earnings ratios for 2025 and 2026, highlighting key players in sectors like information technology and healthcare [1]