Berun Chemical(SZ:000683) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-11-10 10:38Core Insights - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 41.15% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, while ongoing projects lay a foundation for future development [1][3]. Investment Highlights - The company maintains a "Buy" rating, adjusting the EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 to 0.40 (+3%), 0.55 (+8%), and 0.67 (+6) yuan respectively. A target price of 8.80 yuan (+15.6%) is set based on a 16x PE for 2026, considering a valuation discount due to falling soda ash prices [2]. Acquisition Details - The company plans to acquire a 10.6464% stake in Yingen Mining, increasing its total ownership to 70.6464%. Yingen Mining's subsidiary, Yingen Chemical, is developing a 7.8 million tons/year soda ash and 800,000 tons/year sodium bicarbonate project, with phase one already operational and phase two expected to complete by 2025 [3][4]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenues of 8.656 billion yuan, a decrease of 16.54% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.062 billion yuan, down 41.15%. In Q3 2025, revenues were 2.740 billion yuan, down 17.04%, with a net profit of 319.3 million yuan, a decline of 46.38% [3]. Project Development - The second phase of the Alkali project is expected to be completed by the end of 2025, with production ramp-up anticipated in Q1 2026, potentially leading to cost reductions depending on operational performance. The carbon recovery project for 1.2 million tons/year sodium bicarbonate is under construction, expected to be completed by mid-2026 [4].