中方放开稀土出口，主动送上大礼，打出天大阳谋，美方已无选择

Core Viewpoint - China's recent announcement to suspend export restrictions on key minerals such as gallium, germanium, antimony, and graphite from now until November 27, 2026, marks a strategic shift in the ongoing US-China competition [1] Group 1: Strategic Implications - The suspension of export restrictions is perceived as a tactical retreat that allows China to gain leverage, particularly in the semiconductor and renewable energy sectors, where gallium and germanium are critical [3] - The US is facing a strategic dilemma in the critical minerals sector, as domestic production is insufficient and relies heavily on Chinese technology for rare earth separation [3] - The timing of this announcement coincides with the US election cycle, presenting a challenge for the new government to choose between continued confrontation or pragmatic cooperation with China [5] Group 2: Global Supply Chain Dynamics - The global supply chain is undergoing significant restructuring, with countries like Australia and Canada ramping up mining efforts, yet lacking sufficient refining capacity [5] - China currently controls 95% of the global graphite refining capacity, making it difficult for other nations to quickly overcome this dominance [5] - The temporary lifting of export restrictions may deepen Western reliance on Chinese minerals, highlighting the dual-edged nature of supply chain weaponization [6] Group 3: Technological Advancements - The export suspension is seen as a strategic move to buy time for China's advancements in next-generation technologies, such as solid-state batteries and silicon carbide chips, which are on the verge of industrialization [6] - While the West focuses on rebuilding raw material supply chains, China is positioning itself for technological breakthroughs that could redefine industry standards [6]