dbg markets盾博：美国经济疲软，黄金接连上涨

Group 1 - The U.S. economy is showing signs of weakness, leading to increased market expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next month [1][4] - International gold prices have risen for two consecutive trading days, surpassing the $4,070 per ounce mark and moving towards the $4,080 key level [1] - A significant drop in the U.S. consumer confidence index, influenced by government shutdown and high price levels, has heightened concerns about the economic outlook [3] Group 2 - The ongoing political deadlock in Washington is reportedly nearing a resolution, which could improve the transparency of key economic indicators [3][4] - Analysts suggest that as the risk of government shutdown diminishes, investor focus will shift back to the Federal Reserve's policy outlook, potentially increasing the likelihood of an interest rate cut [4] - Current market participants estimate a 67% probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, reflecting a growing bet on easing monetary policy [4] Group 3 - The weak signals from the U.S. labor market reinforce expectations for a rate cut, but optimism regarding a resolution to the government shutdown may suppress gold's upward momentum [5]