高晓峰:11.11地缘冲突未平+降息预期又起，黄金避险买盘激增

Group 1 - The core driving force behind the recent increase in gold prices is the rising expectation of an early interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, fueled by weak U.S. employment and consumer confidence data [1] - Geopolitical risks, including the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and the Israel-Palestine conflict, provide solid support for gold as a safe-haven asset [1] - The combination of favorable factors has led to strong buying interest in gold, resulting in a continuous price increase [1] Group 2 - Technically, gold is showing a strong upward trend, with daily charts indicating a bullish candlestick pattern and a bullish MACD crossover, suggesting that bulls are in control [3] - The recent end of a 40-day U.S. government shutdown has led to the upcoming release of key economic data, which may cause significant market volatility and provide new guidance for Federal Reserve policy [3] - Discussions around potential U.S. fiscal stimulus may heighten inflation concerns, further emphasizing gold's hedging value [3] Group 3 - A trading strategy is suggested to buy on dips within the price range of 4126-4120, with a stop loss of 10 USD and a target of 4160-4180 [4]