张津镭：鸽派预期助推金价，短期关注上方阻力突破

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that gold prices are being driven up by dovish expectations and recent weak economic data from the U.S., with a significant increase in gold prices observed, closing at $4,115 per ounce, marking a notable daily gain [1] - Recent U.S. economic data has shown a substantial decline in job creation, a drop in consumer confidence, and a persistently low manufacturing PMI, which has raised concerns about the weakening momentum of the U.S. economic recovery [1] - The Senate has passed a temporary funding bill to end the government shutdown, with an 88% probability of resolution this week, which may alleviate short-term market risks and improve sentiment [2] Group 2 - Despite the potential resolution of the government shutdown, there is a caution that the end of the shutdown will only eliminate short-term noise, and if upcoming economic data continues to confirm economic weakness, the logic for interest rate cuts will re-emerge, maintaining the long-term bullish trend for gold [2] - Technically, gold experienced a pullback after reaching $4,105, but subsequently surged again, indicating a potential continuation of the upward trend, with resistance expected around $4,150 and support near the previous high of $4,105 [2] - Recommendations for trading gold include buying at $4,140-$4,136 with a stop loss at $4,120 and a target of $4,180-$4,200, while also advising caution on positions if prices drop below $4,120 [3]