金荣中国:现货黄金延续走高,录得4141.15美元/盎司高位刷新两周高点
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-11 05:58

Fundamental Analysis - Gold prices continued to rise, reaching a two-week high of $4141.15 per ounce, with a significant increase of 2.85% on Monday, marking the highest closing price since October 23 [1] - Silver also saw a notable increase, rising over 4% to its highest level since October 21, driven by weak U.S. economic data and heightened expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts [1] - The U.S. Treasury yield curve is flattening, with short-term yields rising faster than long-term yields, reflecting investor concerns about rising inflation expectations and the potential pause in the Fed's rate-cutting cycle [4] - Recent weak economic data from the U.S., including a significant drop in October job openings and a decline in consumer confidence, has reinforced market expectations for a dovish stance from the Fed, with a 64% probability of a rate cut in December [4] - The internal debate within the Federal Reserve regarding further rate cuts has intensified, with differing views among officials, which adds uncertainty to the policy path and supports gold prices [5] Technical Analysis - Gold prices broke through the short-term resistance level of $4030, indicating a potential continuation of the bullish trend, with a focus on the $4150 resistance level [9] - Short-term trading strategies suggest entering long positions around $4106 and $4086, with stop-loss orders set at $10 below the entry point and targets set at $4150 and $4180 [8] - The market is currently observing strong bullish sentiment, with prices hovering around $4130, indicating a potential for further upward movement [9] Market Dynamics - The ongoing U.S. government shutdown, which has lasted for 41 days, has created significant economic pressure, but recent developments suggest a potential resolution, which may still leave lingering economic impacts that support gold's safe-haven demand [7] - Trade uncertainties, particularly related to Trump's tariff policies and a decline in container imports from China, have further amplified economic risks, contributing to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [6]