国际投行一致看好AI后市 工业富联到底还能不能买？

Core Viewpoint - The recent adjustment in AI concept stocks has sparked discussions about a potential "bubble," yet major international investment banks like Goldman Sachs, UBS, and Citigroup continue to express strong support for the future of AI, indicating that long-term institutional investors remain committed to the sector [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Bank Support - Major investment banks have released reports affirming their positive outlook on AI, suggesting that the current investment cycle has room for growth and is comparable to the early stages of the 1990s tech boom rather than a speculative peak [2][3]. - Goldman Sachs emphasizes that the current AI hype resembles the tech boom of 1997-1998, indicating that the market is still in a foundational phase rather than experiencing excessive speculation [2]. - UBS asserts that the AI sector has not yet reached the dangerous peak of the 2000 internet bubble, highlighting that valuations are not extreme and that key conditions for a bubble burst are absent [2]. Group 2: Demand Drivers - The optimism from investment banks is underpinned by a global surge in demand for computing power, with AI applications expanding beyond the tech sector into traditional industries such as finance, manufacturing, healthcare, and automotive [3][4]. - Goldman Sachs projects that the widespread application of generative AI could boost U.S. labor productivity by 15% over the next decade, driving increased corporate investment [3]. - Morgan Stanley forecasts that capital expenditures for large-scale cloud providers will reach $445 billion by 2025, growing 56% year-over-year, and further increase to $582 billion by 2026, reflecting explosive underlying demand [3]. Group 3: Focus on Certainty - The recurring bubble discussions highlight the ongoing market debate regarding new technologies, but long-term stock prices will ultimately be determined by companies' actual profitability [5]. - Companies in the computing infrastructure sector, such as Industrial Fulian, are positioned as core assets in the computing era, supported by strong market share, exceeding performance expectations, and substantial order backlogs [5]. - The recent market correction in the AI sector has eliminated speculative excess, thereby enhancing the visibility of high-quality companies' values [5].