ATFX金属:国际黄金单日暴涨110美元,创近三周新高
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-11 08:08

Core Viewpoint - The expectation of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has significantly boosted international gold prices, with a notable increase observed in recent trading sessions [1][3]. Group 1: Federal Reserve and Interest Rate Expectations - Federal Reserve Governor Milan has expressed strong support for a 50 basis point rate cut in December, suggesting that a reduction of at least 25 basis points is necessary if economic data does not show significant changes [1]. - The anticipation of a 50 basis point cut is fueled by the current government shutdown and weak labor market performance, leading to increased buying pressure for gold [3]. Group 2: Labor Market and Economic Indicators - The U.S. labor market remains weak, with the ADP data showing an increase of only 42,000 jobs in October, which is still low compared to the previous year, and three months of negative job growth this year [3]. - The ongoing government shutdown has delayed the release of the non-farm payroll reports for September and October, further complicating the economic outlook [3]. Group 3: Technical Analysis of Gold Prices - The long-term trend for international gold remains bullish, with recent price movements indicating a potential continuation of this upward trend [5]. - The recent price correction has reached a sufficient adjustment level, and the rebound since October 28 appears healthy, suggesting that the upward movement may persist for some time [5]. - However, there is a caution regarding the potential formation of a "double top" structure if a second upward movement occurs, with significant resistance expected near the previous high of $4,381 [5].