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泽璟制药-U(688266):业绩符合预期 关注ZG006出海进展/数据验证

Core Viewpoint - The company's performance in the first three quarters of 2025 aligns with expectations, showing significant revenue growth driven by key products [1][2]. Revenue Performance - The company reported revenue of 593 million yuan for 1-3Q25, representing a year-on-year increase of 54.49%. The net loss attributable to shareholders was 93.42 million yuan, with 3Q revenue reaching 218 million yuan, up 51.85% year-on-year [1][2]. - Quarterly revenue breakdown for 1-3Q25 shows 168 million yuan in Q1, 208 million yuan in Q2, and 218 million yuan in Q3, with year-on-year growth rates of 54.9%, 57.0%, and 51.9% respectively [2]. Key Growth Drivers - The main contributors to revenue growth include the rapid market uptake of recombinant thrombin following its inclusion in the national medical insurance directory and the commercialization of gilteritinib, which began in June [2]. - The sales of gilteritinib have exceeded 10 million yuan, supported by the company's self-built sales team, and it is expected to participate in medical insurance negotiations this year [2]. Clinical Development Highlights - The company is focusing on the progress and data validation of its potential blockbuster products ZG006 and ZG005, which have shown promising clinical data at various academic conferences [3]. - ZG006 has been selected for oral presentations at the recent ESMO conference, showcasing impressive results in its Phase I trial, with ongoing Phase II data also being presented [3]. - A key registration clinical trial for ZG006 in treating third-line and above small cell lung cancer (SCLC) began patient enrollment in September 2025, and a Phase III trial comparing ZG006 to chemotherapy for second-line SCLC has received regulatory approval [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, with a target price of 145.0 yuan based on DCF valuation, indicating a potential upside of 39.6% from the current stock price [4].